American media “Israeli intelligence analysis”
Observation of possible action before ceasefire negotiations on the 15th
US warns of deploying submarines in the Middle East against Iran
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, ‘ as the release of hostages and ceasefire negotiations approach between Israel and the Palestinian Islamic militant group Hamas, there are observations that Iran’s direct attack on Israel before negotiations may jeopardize the resumption of negotiations.’,
, ‘ 11 days before the ceasefire negotiations scheduled to take place in Cairo, Egypt or Doha, Qatar on the 15th, American online media Axios reported, citing two sources, that Iran, planning retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, is prepared to directly attack Israel and Israeli intelligence believes that the attack is likely to take place within a few days. The media reported that despite the risk that the resumption of ceasefire negotiations scheduled for the 15th could be jeopardized if Iran retaliates, a source mentioned that the situation is still fluid.’,
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| Local demonstrators at Palestine Square in Tehran, Iran waving Iranian and Palestinian flags denouncing the assassination of top Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. AP News |
, ‘ This assessment is based on a draft written within the past 24 hours. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant also indicated in a conversation with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on the same day that Iran’s military preparations suggest that Iran is preparing for a large-scale attack.’,
, ‘ The U.S. Department of Defense announced on the same day that Secretary Austin had ordered the deployment of guided-missile submarines to the Middle East, according to Reuters. The public disclosure of the submarine deployment plan by the U.S. military is seen as a warning message aimed at Iran, which is planning retaliation for the assassination of Haniyeh. Secretary Austin also reportedly ordered Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group including F-35 fighter jets to accelerate their deployment to the Middle East, as reported by AFP. As tensions rose in the Middle East, Hamas also declared that they would not participate in ceasefire negotiations.’,
, ‘ Lebanon’s Islamic militant group Hezbollah, supported by Iran, is also becoming more likely to launch an attack. According to CNN and others, Hezbollah fired dozens of rockets into northern Galilee, Israel early on the 12th. Some of the rockets were intercepted by the Iron Dome missile defense system, and some fell into open areas. There were no reported casualties.’,
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