NYT analyzes which issues were of interest besides ‘Who will be elected’. On November 3 (local time), at a campaign rally in Lititz, Pennsylvania, U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump claimed, “On the day I left the White House, we had the best border.” November 4, 2024 ⓒ AFP=News1 ⓒ News1 Woo Dong-myung,
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, ‘(Seoul=News1) Reporter Kwon Young-mi: With the U.S. presidential election just a day away, numerous polls have been released. The main question was who people would vote for if today were Election Day, but thanks to a wide range of questions, it was possible to get an outline of who is thought to represent change and what issues are of interest.’,
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, ‘According to the New York Times (NYT) on the 3rd (local time), for over a decade, most Americans have said the country is on the wrong track, and in this election, about two-thirds of Americans say so. Former President Donald Trump is talking about a return to a prosperous past, while Vice President Kamala Harris is aiming for a brighter future. The issue is who voters see as the person to lead the change and in which direction they want to go.’,
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, ‘According to tracking by polling agency FiveThirtyEight, President Joe Biden’s approval and favorability ratings are currently 40% on average, and his job approval rating is 38%. Trump’s average job approval rating when he left office was 39%. However, the public has been more lenient, with an NBC News poll last October showing Trump at a 48% approval rate.’,
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, ‘As a result, Trump’s camp is trying to associate Harris with President Biden and his low approval ratings, while Harris’s camp aims to remind voters of the dissatisfaction they felt with Trump during his tenure.’,
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, ‘The public’s sentiment toward Harris is much more positive than that for Biden. Her average approval rating when she began her campaign on July 21 was 38%, which rose to 46% by October 31. Her job approval rating also increased from 38% on July 21 to 44% currently. However, experts observe that while Harris enjoys a good reputation, voters may not necessarily believe she will deliver meaningful change as she is part of the current administration.’,
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, ‘In a New York Times/Siena College poll that asked whether each candidate represents change, 59% of voters said yes for Trump, while 45% said yes for Harris. In subsequent polls asking which candidate “represents change” better, responses favored Harris at 46% compared to Trump’s 44%.’,
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, ‘The economy was the top priority for voters in this election. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said, “The two most important issues for all voters were the economy and immigration, and Trump has an advantage in both.”.’,
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, ‘In battleground states, 18% of likely voters (LV) named immigration as the most important issue, and nationally 15% did.’,
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, ‘Candidate choice also showed a clear gender difference. According to polls collected by former Democratic pollster Adam Carlson over the past two weeks, Harris is ahead of Trump by 10 percentage points among women on average. Among younger generations, an even more pronounced gender gap appeared. In three New York Times/Siena polls conducted this fall, Trump led by 21 percentage points among young men, while Harris led by 40 percentage points among young women.’,
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, ‘However, as the election day approached, the NYT observed that the polls present a complicated picture of the electorate. Besides just Trump and Harris’s names, more complex issues are involved in the actual vote, potentially leading to split votes where the choices for president, Senate, and House may differ in some states.’,
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, ‘Camille Mumford, director of communications for Emerson College Polling, asked, “There are 10 states with abortion included on the ballot; will it affect female voter turnout within those states? In Arizona, the issue of immigration is also on the ballot; which would have a greater impact, abortion or immigration?” By analyzing the overall pattern, one could understand the context of how the choice for president on the 5th was made.’